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Shane Marston
NCA-1532Rank #934
NCA
Published Rating-1.312current view: -1.163
+0.149 since 1.0 yrs ago
Uncertainty (σ)0.822
Conservative (μ−3σ)-3.778
Events Played3

Still calibrating. Only 3 rated events so far — new ratings move a lot and may not line up with how you placed in any one event. This settles as more games are played.

FlickSkill Over Timehow the system's estimate of your skill has evolved
The yellow line is the system's current best estimate of your skill at each point in your history — a smooth arc that reflects everything FlickSkill now knows, with the benefit of hindsight. The green line is your published rating — what the leaderboard showed right after each event, with no future data yet. The gap between green and yellow at any event is how much FlickSkill has re-learned about your skill since.

Tournament Results

WCC Doubles 2025· Jun 7, 2025 · DoublesPlace 56th of 68Tier 1 · FSI 1.304Beat 12 teams
✓ Exceeded seeding (was 57th)⚠ Still calibrating
+0.159Change
WCC Doubles 2024· Jun 1, 2024 · DoublesPlace 44th of 58Tier 1 · FSI 1.283Beat 14 teams
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 46th)⚠ Still calibrating
+0.458Change
WCC Doubles 2023· Jun 2, 2023 · DoublesPlace 50th of 53Tier 1 · FSI 1.158Beat 3 teams
✓ Exceeded seeding (was 51st)⚠ Still calibrating
-1.928Change

How the chart is built

The yellow Skill Arc is FlickSkill's current best estimate of your true skill at every point in your history — a smooth curve fit across all data, including events that happened after each point. It's the most accurate retrospective view, but it keeps moving every time the system learns from a new tournament.

The green Published Rating is what the leaderboard showed at the time. Each green dot is the endpoint of TTT's view right after that tournament was processed, with no future data yet — that's the rating you would have actually seen on the public page. The green line never moves once an event is locked.

The gap between green and yellow at any event is how much FlickSkill has re-learned about your skill since — wider gaps mean later results pulled the system's view of that event up or down. Hover a point to see both values plus the felt change since the previous event.

The blue dotted lines are past traces — each shows the full Skill Arc as FlickSkill saw it after a previous tournament. The slider controls how many overlap. Together they show how the system's view of your whole history evolves over time.