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Raine Evans
NCA-1730Rank #260
NCANCA REC
Published Rating0.877current view: 1.052
+0.175 since 1.2 yrs ago
Uncertainty (σ)0.462
Conservative (μ−3σ)-0.508
Events Played7

Still calibrating. Only 7 rated events so far — new ratings move a lot and may not line up with how you placed in any one event. This settles as more games are played.

FlickSkill Over Timehow the system's estimate of your skill has evolved
3
The yellow line is the system's current best estimate of your skill at each point in your history — a smooth arc that reflects everything FlickSkill now knows, with the benefit of hindsight. The green line is your published rating — what the leaderboard showed right after each event, with no future data yet. The gap between green and yellow at any event is how much FlickSkill has re-learned about your skill since. The blue dotted lines are past traces — each one shows what FlickSkill thought of your whole rating history right after a previous tournament. Newer traces are darker; older traces fade. The slider controls how many to show.

Tournament Results

WCC Singles REC 2025· Jun 7, 2025 · SinglesPlace 83rd of 120Tier 3 · FSI 0.589Beat 37 players
Below seeding (was 17th)
-0.541Change
WCC Doubles REC 2025· Jun 7, 2025 · DoublesPlace 11th of 78Tier 3 · FSI 0.589Beat 67 teams
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 15th)
+0.086Change
Ontario Singles REC 2025· May 3, 2025 · SinglesPlace 2nd of 33Tier 3 · FSI 0.410Beat 31 players
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 10th)
+0.720Change
Ontario Doubles 2024· Nov 16, 2024 · DoublesPlace 21st of 34Tier 1 · FSI 1.187Beat 13 teams
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 29th)
+0.160Change
Turtle Island REC 2024· Aug 3, 2024 · SinglesPlace 7th of 36Tier 3 · FSI 0.400Beat 29 players
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 24th)⚠ Still calibrating
+0.328Change
WCC Singles REC 2024· Jun 1, 2024 · SinglesPlace 64th of 115Tier 2 · FSI 0.631Beat 51 players
Below seeding (was 38th)⚠ Still calibrating
-0.334Change
WCC Doubles REC 2024· Jun 1, 2024 · DoublesPlace 26th of 80Tier 2 · FSI 0.617Beat 54 teams
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 38th)⚠ Still calibrating
+0.459Change

How the chart is built

The yellow Skill Arc is FlickSkill's current best estimate of your true skill at every point in your history — a smooth curve fit across all data, including events that happened after each point. It's the most accurate retrospective view, but it keeps moving every time the system learns from a new tournament.

The green Published Rating is what the leaderboard showed at the time. Each green dot is the endpoint of TTT's view right after that tournament was processed, with no future data yet — that's the rating you would have actually seen on the public page. The green line never moves once an event is locked.

The gap between green and yellow at any event is how much FlickSkill has re-learned about your skill since — wider gaps mean later results pulled the system's view of that event up or down. Hover a point to see both values plus the felt change since the previous event.

The blue dotted lines are past traces — each shows the full Skill Arc as FlickSkill saw it after a previous tournament. The slider controls how many overlap. Together they show how the system's view of your whole history evolves over time.