← All Ratings
Justin Morgan (CO)
NCA-1031Rank #164
NCASECNECT
Published Rating1.881current view: 1.946
+0.064 since 3 months ago
Uncertainty (σ)0.475
Conservative (μ−3σ)0.457
Events Played7

Still calibrating. Only 7 rated events so far — new ratings move a lot and may not line up with how you placed in any one event. This settles as more games are played.

FlickSkill Over Timehow the system's estimate of your skill has evolved
3
The yellow line is the system's current best estimate of your skill at each point in your history — a smooth arc that reflects everything FlickSkill now knows, with the benefit of hindsight. The green line is your published rating — what the leaderboard showed right after each event, with no future data yet. The gap between green and yellow at any event is how much FlickSkill has re-learned about your skill since. The blue dotted lines are past traces — each one shows what FlickSkill thought of your whole rating history right after a previous tournament. Newer traces are darker; older traces fade. The slider controls how many to show.

Tournament Results

WCC Singles 2026· Jun 6, 2026 · SinglesPlace 74th of 130Tier 1 · FSI 1.398Beat 56 players
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 80th)
+0.021≈ no change
WCC Doubles 2026· Jun 6, 2026 · DoublesPlace 20th of 62Tier 1 · FSI 1.367Beat 42 teams
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 49th)
+0.452Change
Minneapolis 2025· Jul 26, 2025 · SinglesPlace 13th of 40Tier 3 · FSI 0.516Beat 27 players
Below seeding (was 10th)
-0.325Change
Kansas City 2025· Jul 12, 2025 · SinglesPlace 5th of 24Tier 3 · FSI 0.400Beat 19 players
Below seeding (was 2nd)⚠ Still calibrating
+0.135Change
Charleston Singles 2025· Feb 22, 2025 · SinglesPlace 28th of 51Tier 1 · FSI 0.936Beat 23 players
Below seeding (was 13th)⚠ Still calibrating
-0.566Change
Charleston Doubles 2025· Feb 22, 2025 · DoublesPlace 4th of 26Tier 1 · FSI 0.893Beat 22 teams
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 23rd)⚠ Still calibrating
+1.026Change
US Open 2024· Apr 20, 2024 · DoublesPlace 12th of 42Tier 1 · FSI 1.011Beat 30 teams
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 21st)⚠ Still calibrating
+1.138Change

How the chart is built

The yellow Skill Arc is FlickSkill's current best estimate of your true skill at every point in your history — a smooth curve fit across all data, including events that happened after each point. It's the most accurate retrospective view, but it keeps moving every time the system learns from a new tournament.

The green Published Rating is what the leaderboard showed at the time. Each green dot is the endpoint of TTT's view right after that tournament was processed, with no future data yet — that's the rating you would have actually seen on the public page. The green line never moves once an event is locked.

The gap between green and yellow at any event is how much FlickSkill has re-learned about your skill since — wider gaps mean later results pulled the system's view of that event up or down. Hover a point to see both values plus the felt change since the previous event.

The blue dotted lines are past traces — each shows the full Skill Arc as FlickSkill saw it after a previous tournament. The slider controls how many overlap. Together they show how the system's view of your whole history evolves over time.