← All Ratings
Nick Stangas
NCA-2901Rank #110
NCASECNECT
Published Rating2.564current view: 2.575
Uncertainty (σ)0.477
Conservative (μ−3σ)1.133
Events Played7

Still calibrating. Only 7 rated events so far — new ratings move a lot and may not line up with how you placed in any one event. This settles as more games are played.

FlickSkill Over Timehow the system's estimate of your skill has evolved
3
The yellow line is the system's current best estimate of your skill at each point in your history — a smooth arc that reflects everything FlickSkill now knows, with the benefit of hindsight. The green line is your published rating — what the leaderboard showed right after each event, with no future data yet. The gap between green and yellow at any event is how much FlickSkill has re-learned about your skill since. The blue dotted lines are past traces — each one shows what FlickSkill thought of your whole rating history right after a previous tournament. Newer traces are darker; older traces fade. The slider controls how many to show.

Tournament Results

Turtle Island 2026· Aug 1, 2026 · SinglesPlace 12th of 26Tier 1 · FSI 1.099Beat 14 players
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 16th)
+0.191Change
Long Island C3· May 16, 2026 · DoublesPlace 1st of 22Tier 3 · FSI 0.516Beat 21 teams
Held seed (1st)
+0.200Change
US Open 2026· Apr 25, 2026 · DoublesPlace 11th of 60Tier 1 · FSI 1.248Beat 49 teams
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 24th)
+0.340Change
Charleston Singles 2026· Mar 8, 2026 · SinglesPlace 11th of 52Tier 1 · FSI 0.935Beat 41 players
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 25th)⚠ Still calibrating
+0.681Change
Charleston Doubles 2026· Mar 8, 2026 · DoublesPlace 12th of 27Tier 1 · FSI 0.921Beat 15 teams
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 15th)⚠ Still calibrating
+0.267Change
NY State 2026· Feb 21, 2026 · SinglesPlace 22nd of 32Tier 1 · FSI 0.902Beat 10 players
✓ Exceeded seeding (was 23rd)⚠ Still calibrating
-0.040≈ no change
Wicked Flick 2026· Jan 31, 2026 · DoublesPlace 13th of 32Tier 2 · FSI 0.751Beat 19 teams
✓ Beat expectations (seeded 18th)⚠ Still calibrating
+0.926Change

How the chart is built

The yellow Skill Arc is FlickSkill's current best estimate of your true skill at every point in your history — a smooth curve fit across all data, including events that happened after each point. It's the most accurate retrospective view, but it keeps moving every time the system learns from a new tournament.

The green Published Rating is what the leaderboard showed at the time. Each green dot is the endpoint of TTT's view right after that tournament was processed, with no future data yet — that's the rating you would have actually seen on the public page. The green line never moves once an event is locked.

The gap between green and yellow at any event is how much FlickSkill has re-learned about your skill since — wider gaps mean later results pulled the system's view of that event up or down. Hover a point to see both values plus the felt change since the previous event.

The blue dotted lines are past traces — each shows the full Skill Arc as FlickSkill saw it after a previous tournament. The slider controls how many overlap. Together they show how the system's view of your whole history evolves over time.